Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.499771 1.704708 1.929244 2.193813 2.497411 2.835355 3.240673
2025-11-02 1.152394 1.410481 1.716195 2.106163 2.592017 3.179503 3.946944
2025-11-09 0.904672 1.176241 1.519177 1.986331 2.609737 3.418020 4.553590
2025-11-16 0.762675 1.044414 1.420354 1.962558 2.730968 3.790516 5.378742
2025-11-23 0.650498 0.931634 1.325133 1.921672 2.812980 4.110804 6.171992
2025-11-30 0.599339 0.894472 1.326174 2.011623 3.087587 4.736555 7.502734
2025-12-07 0.547374 0.847537 1.304271 2.060330 3.301389 5.294147 8.809131
2025-12-14 0.490747 0.785208 1.249359 2.047028 3.410346 5.694078 9.911403
2025-12-21 0.431716 0.711300 1.166141 1.974598 3.407690 5.902338 10.706184
2025-12-28 0.409050 0.694101 1.172827 2.053245 3.672834 6.604898 12.499068
2026-01-04 0.388785 0.678246 1.179180 2.130669 3.943789 7.351516 14.490651
2026-01-11 0.364736 0.652786 1.165312 2.168474 4.143981 7.989579 16.365605
2026-01-18 0.341066 0.626286 1.148132 2.200917 4.344353 8.668457 18.468620
2026-01-25 0.308154 0.579101 1.087487 2.141671 4.354042 8.965260 19.804922
2026-02-01 0.273407 0.524719 1.007207 2.033092 4.246739 9.001174 20.561068
2026-02-08 0.252728 0.495647 0.973191 2.015265 4.329680 9.458468 22.376987
2026-02-15 0.232097 0.464517 0.931689 1.976363 4.360701 9.803523 23.982333
2026-02-22 0.226275 0.463026 0.950627 2.070681 4.705112 10.919528 27.725678
2026-03-01 0.216834 0.452927 0.950290 2.121738 4.955635 11.849744 31.163714
2026-03-08 0.202791 0.431535 0.923368 2.108416 5.049532 12.408662 33.703681
2026-03-15 0.185276 0.400859 0.872952 2.033862 4.982189 12.549109 35.097193
2026-03-22 0.180809 0.398843 0.886625 2.115129 5.320754 13.798224 39.952715
2026-03-29 0.176386 0.396467 0.899168 2.195095 5.667400 15.124093 45.316271